Efforts to map the personality
of the perpetrator of the horror on the Promenade des Anglais in Nice are
ongoing. In the final analysis we’re obliged to take our choice from among all
the theories on offer. In today’s issue of The Observer I note points which
seem to me persuasive and well worth thinking about.
“Mohamed Lahouaiej-Bouhlel
matches the classic profile of French violent Islamic extremist in many ways. He
was a young, male petty criminal. He was also not devout, all witnesses so far
agree. He did not fast during Ramadan, ate pork, drank, and was never seen at
any local mosque. This lack of piety among militants may seem confusing. It is,
however, the rule rather than the exception. It was true of the dozen or so
French and Belgian young men involved in bombings and shootings earlier this
year. Olivier Roy, a
well-known French scholar, suggests those drawn into violent activism are
already ‘in nihilist, generational revolt’. This is why so many are criminals,
or marginal. Extremist Islam gives them a cause and frames anger and alienation
in the way extremist left-wing ideologies did for some in the sixties and the
seventies. The new militants are thus not victims of brainwashing by cynical
and fanatical recruiters. This is the Islamisation
of radicalism, Roy says, not the radicalisation
of Islam.”
Were the Nice tragedy
not sufficiently worrying, we were then in short order confronted with the coup
in Turkey. In this instance no psychogram of the perpetrators, whether those in
military uniforms or members of the judiciary… the roughly five thousand men
detained in the aftermath… can be helpful. However the simple question ‘cui bono’ is must surely be posed.
Turkey’s president stands to gain in ways which were hitherto almost
unimaginable. After the uprising (which appears in many ways to have been an
amateurish folly) there is now the perfect opportunity for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
to consolidate his power and stifle any remaining dissent. Yesterday The
Independent had room for an alarming interpretation of the situation.
“Conspiracy theorists
are saying the
attempted military coup in Turkey was faked, after President Erdoğan
reportedly called it ‘a gift from Allah'. Social media users have compared the
coup attempt in which more than 160 people are thought to have died to the
Reichstag fire, the 1933 arson attack on the German parliament building which
Hitler used as an excuse to suspend civil liberties and order mass arrests of
his opponents.”
Following the failed coup,
American military flights out of Turkey’s giant Incirlik Air Base… critical in
the ongoing campaign against Dai’esh… came to a halt Saturday afternoon as the
Turkish military closed the airspace around the base and suspended all US-led
operations, mostly targeting the so-called Islamic State. It is estimated that Incirlik's vaults
currently hold fifty B61 nuclear weapons.
Repeat after me… “Oh
shit!”
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